Credit Risk Senior Analyst - CECL Reporting, Loss Forecasting

Credit Risk Senior Analyst We are a rapidly growing company that’s revolutionizing the way the restaurant industry does business by pairing technology with an extraordinary commitment to customer success. We help restaurants streamline operations, increase revenue, and deliver amazing guest experiences through our platform that combines restaurant point of sale, guest-facing technology, and award-winning customer support. Join us as we empower the restaurant community to delight guests, do what they love, and thrive. The Fintech Risk team at Toast is responsible for driving risk informed growth for the rapidly expanding Toast Fintech line of business. We are seeking a Lead Credit Risk Strategist as part of the team, with a focus on the portfolio risk management space. You will partner with cross-functional analysts and senior leadership to decode complex portfolio risk trends, refine our loss forecasting models, develop and oversee line management strategies for credit cards and other revolving products, and build the early-warning defenses that allow us to stay resilient under stress and profitable in any market cycle. If you have an analytic and data driven mindset, eye for detail and can-do attitude then you are right for this position. Responsibilities : • CECL Reporting : Oversee the monthly CECL calculations and reporting process, collaborating closely with accounting and strategic finance teams to ensure the robustness of methodology and accuracy of loss reserve calculations. • Loss Forecasting: Refine existing loss forecasting models / methodologies which feed into monthly CECL calculations, to improve the overall accuracy and stability of forecasts. Develop loss projection and expected loss estimation methodologies for revolving products (e.g. credit card). • Portfolio Risk Strategy : Define, implement, and continuously improve the portfolio risk management strategy (including collections), ensuring alignment with company appetite. • Risk Reporting and Monitoring : Develop and maintain a comprehensive and timely reporting framework to provide risk visibility to management, ensuring that risk and return are optimized and in line with company goals. Define and monitor key KPIs • Emerging Risk Identification and Mitigation : Proactively identify emerging risks and propose data-driven mitigation solutions to minimize potential losses and optimize returns. • Cross-Functional Collaboration : Foster strong partnerships with Product Management, Operations, Engineering, Data Science, Accounting, and Strategic Finance teams, driving alignment and facilitating data-driven decision-making. • Policy Management : Maintain and update CECL methodology documents and procedures, ensuring compliance with regulatory and audit requirements. Data enhancement and enrichment: Work with product and engineering to make sure that right data is in the pipelines for reporting and analytics Requirements : • 5+ years of experience in consumer or small business lending in a quantitative risk strategy / analytics role, with hands-on experience in loss forecasting and expected loss estimation. • Quantitative degree (Mathematics/Statistics/Economics/Operations Research) preferred, Masters Degree or MBA a plus • Proficiency in SQL and Python/R, with experience in data visualization tools such as Hex/ Tableau/Looker/Sigma • Exceptional written and verbal communication skills, with the ability to effectively convey complex ideas to both technical and non-technical audiences. • An inquisitive nature, with a passion for exploring variances, understanding root causes, and driving data-driven decision-making • Proven ability to navigate a cross-functional, non-hierarchical environment, fostering collaboration and driving alignment across teams